Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005022 0.005298 0.005583 0.005900 0.006243 0.006604 0.007013
2025-12-07 0.004500 0.004896 0.005325 0.005823 0.006391 0.007020 0.007775
2025-12-14 0.004206 0.004672 0.005190 0.005813 0.006547 0.007393 0.008451
2025-12-21 0.003882 0.004376 0.004937 0.005629 0.006466 0.007458 0.008741
2025-12-28 0.003723 0.004254 0.004870 0.005646 0.006609 0.007783 0.009352
2026-01-04 0.003614 0.004181 0.004850 0.005710 0.006804 0.008174 0.010062
2026-01-11 0.003468 0.004053 0.004753 0.005669 0.006857 0.008378 0.010533
2026-01-18 0.003353 0.003955 0.004686 0.005657 0.006941 0.008623 0.011068
2026-01-25 0.003233 0.003844 0.004596 0.005609 0.006971 0.008790 0.011500
2026-02-01 0.003192 0.003830 0.004627 0.005717 0.007211 0.009254 0.012385
2026-02-08 0.003100 0.003747 0.004563 0.005694 0.007269 0.009462 0.012905
2026-02-15 0.003023 0.003680 0.004516 0.005690 0.007350 0.009705 0.013491
2026-02-22 0.002916 0.003570 0.004410 0.005602 0.007309 0.009770 0.013810
2026-03-01 0.002821 0.003473 0.004319 0.005530 0.007288 0.009862 0.014175
2026-03-08 0.002756 0.003413 0.004274 0.005520 0.007354 0.010087 0.014773
2026-03-15 0.002636 0.003277 0.004120 0.005349 0.007173 0.009920 0.014698
2026-03-22 0.002590 0.003237 0.004097 0.005365 0.007272 0.010193 0.015394
2026-03-29 0.002561 0.003221 0.004106 0.005425 0.007439 0.010583 0.016328
2026-04-05 0.002501 0.003160 0.004049 0.005387 0.007451 0.010721 0.016817
2026-04-12 0.002453 0.003114 0.004012 0.005376 0.007506 0.010930 0.017452
2026-04-19 0.002396 0.003054 0.003954 0.005331 0.007503 0.011042 0.017911
2026-04-26 0.002388 0.003062 0.003992 0.005432 0.007737 0.011570 0.019229
2026-05-03 0.002343 0.003016 0.003951 0.005410 0.007771 0.011752 0.019870